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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 1:34 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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woof wrote:
Sydney Blue wrote:
Effes wrote:
He doesn't seem to rate the draft does he Old55. Traded away his first rounder the past 2 years (the Jolly trade was justified; not so sure about Ted Richards for pick 19 :lol: )

They don't really have any young gun KP players and also lack young talented midfielders. Will be interesting to see if they trade another first rounder at the end of the year


They have 18 players on their list who have yet to play a senoir game.
They probably could afford to over look the draft for a year or two


They also have an extra 1 million in their salary cap. That's why they can win a flag, lose a premiership ruckman and try and replace him with Peter Everitt. Also helps you overlook a draft, just buy them ready made.


We keep on this arguement the extra on the salry cap has bugger all to do with anything. If money meant you would win we would have won every year under Elliott and his brown paper bags

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 1:36 pm 
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Herald Sun columnist
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Old 55 said
Quote:
The Swans won a flag in 2006 with a fair helping of injury and poor competition luck.


Make that 2005.

Adelaide will win in 2006!

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 1:36 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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Sydney Blue wrote:
woof wrote:
Sydney Blue wrote:
Effes wrote:
He doesn't seem to rate the draft does he Old55. Traded away his first rounder the past 2 years (the Jolly trade was justified; not so sure about Ted Richards for pick 19 :lol: )

They don't really have any young gun KP players and also lack young talented midfielders. Will be interesting to see if they trade another first rounder at the end of the year


They have 18 players on their list who have yet to play a senoir game.
They probably could afford to over look the draft for a year or two


They also have an extra 1 million in their salary cap. That's why they can win a flag, lose a premiership ruckman and try and replace him with Peter Everitt. Also helps you overlook a draft, just buy them ready made.


We keep on this arguement the extra on the salry cap has bugger all to do with anything. If money meant you would win we would have won every year under Elliott and his brown paper bags


So it is just a coincidence that 4 of the last 5 premeirships have gone to clubs who have larger salary caps.


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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 1:41 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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woof wrote:
Sydney Blue wrote:
woof wrote:
Sydney Blue wrote:
Effes wrote:
He doesn't seem to rate the draft does he Old55. Traded away his first rounder the past 2 years (the Jolly trade was justified; not so sure about Ted Richards for pick 19 :lol: )

They don't really have any young gun KP players and also lack young talented midfielders. Will be interesting to see if they trade another first rounder at the end of the year


They have 18 players on their list who have yet to play a senoir game.
They probably could afford to over look the draft for a year or two


They also have an extra 1 million in their salary cap. That's why they can win a flag, lose a premiership ruckman and try and replace him with Peter Everitt. Also helps you overlook a draft, just buy them ready made.


We keep on this arguement the extra on the salry cap has bugger all to do with anything. If money meant you would win we would have won every year under Elliott and his brown paper bags


So it is just a coincidence that 4 of the last 5 premeirships have gone to clubs who have larger salary caps.



I think you will find it has more to do on how much their footballing departments are spending to obtain the flag ( Look at Adelaide) - More than the salary cap issue . If it was just player payments then we would have 20+ flags by now

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 1:45 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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Sydney Blue wrote:
woof wrote:
Sydney Blue wrote:
woof wrote:
Sydney Blue wrote:
Effes wrote:
He doesn't seem to rate the draft does he Old55. Traded away his first rounder the past 2 years (the Jolly trade was justified; not so sure about Ted Richards for pick 19 :lol: )

They don't really have any young gun KP players and also lack young talented midfielders. Will be interesting to see if they trade another first rounder at the end of the year


They have 18 players on their list who have yet to play a senoir game.
They probably could afford to over look the draft for a year or two


They also have an extra 1 million in their salary cap. That's why they can win a flag, lose a premiership ruckman and try and replace him with Peter Everitt. Also helps you overlook a draft, just buy them ready made.


We keep on this arguement the extra on the salry cap has bugger all to do with anything. If money meant you would win we would have won every year under Elliott and his brown paper bags


So it is just a coincidence that 4 of the last 5 premeirships have gone to clubs who have larger salary caps.



I think you will find it has more to do on how much their footballing departments are spending to obtain the flag ( Look at Adelaide) - More than the salary cap issue . If it was just player payments then we would have 20+ flags by now


I'll put it this way because it is very difficult to win premeirships whether you have an advantage or not. Since we stopped handing out brown paper bags we have lurched at the bottom of the ladder.


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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 1:54 pm 
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Alex Jesaulenko

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So they were a good thing then :lol: :oops:

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:04 pm 
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Wayne Johnston
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Ooo I love these threads. Lets treat drafting as an EXACT science and when someone stuffs up, we can blame them.

Well heres the thing - it AIN'T a science and its as much luck as anythig else. If it was so bloody easy, then how come players like Aaron Davey still get left to 5th round?

You could write the same thread on just about any recruiting dept in the AFL.

If it points out one thing, its really that the mantra must always be, "draft the best player available" rather than to fill a specific need.

Rawlings is a perfect case in point. Stevens was clearly the best player available but Bullies went for Rawlings to fill a need. 2 years later they have nothing. Just imagine that midfield with Stevens in it.

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 2:12 pm 
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Bruce Doull
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Davey was a pre-season draft or rookie selection. ;)

I reckon since 2002 our drafting has been okay, or better than okay, pretty good really. Under the circumstances guys like Norman and Angwin were worthwhile punts I reckon. And Fisher is a quality selection that late in the draft and even getting Simpson at #45 was a bit of a surprise as he was rated higher than that, even a possible first rounder.

The late 90s was where it all went pear shaped and Parkin has basically acknowledged that he got it wrong by not going for youth after the 95 Premiership. So while O'Sullivan was our recruiting man at that time, I think it is too simplistic to point the finger solely at him.

IIRC O'Sullvan also played a strong role in looking after the kids in terms of their general welfare when they arrived at Carlton. Ensuring that at least someone at the club showed they cared for them as young kids as much as commodties to the football club.

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 4:32 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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AIRCAV wrote:
Well heres the thing - it AIN'T a science and its as much luck as anythig else. If it was so bloody easy, then how come players like Aaron Davey still get left to 5th round?


Just luck?....If its just luck we need then Joe Hachem the poker champ should be our recruiting officer then ...bit of bluff from Joe during trade week and we should be right...
Glad I wasnt on plane with any of the recruiting staff during 97-2000....they seem to get unlucky a lot....
James Fantasia must be one lucky bloke..I'll get next weeks tatts numbers from him and see you all later....

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 4:34 pm 
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Stephen Silvagni
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Elwood Blues1 wrote:
AIRCAV wrote:
Well heres the thing - it AIN'T a science and its as much luck as anythig else. If it was so bloody easy, then how come players like Aaron Davey still get left to 5th round?


Just luck?....If its just luck we need then Joe Hachem the poker champ should be our recruiting officer then ...bit of bluff from Joe during trade week and we should be right...
Glad I wasnt on plane with any of the recruiting staff during 97-2000....they seem to get unlucky a lot....
James Fantasia must be one lucky bloke..I'll get next weeks tatts numbers from him and see you all later....


I dont think he meant its entirely luck

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PostPosted: Thu Jul 13, 2006 4:57 pm 
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Stephen Kernahan

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Elwood Blues1 wrote:
Glad I wasnt on plane with any of the recruiting staff during 97-2000....they seem to get unlucky a lot....
James Fantasia must be one lucky bloke..I'll get next weeks tatts numbers from him and see you all later....


:lol:

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 16, 2006 2:34 pm 
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Wayne Johnston

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GWS wrote:
I wouldn't want to try to defend our recruiting policies pre 2002 but since then I think we've done remarkably well.


The first two drafts we had limited picks due to the penalties but still managed to pick up Simpson, Fisher and Walker. Should we have taken so many retreads? Maybe not but look at where the picks are and look at who else was still available in those drafts. The main reason some of those guys made it onto our list was because we had spaces that had to be filled that were created by retiring players and others who didn't have a future at Carlton.

2002 National Draft
Pick 45 Kade Simpson Eastern U18 U18 VMFL
Pick 60 Cameron Croad Oakleigh U18 U18 VMFL
Pick 72 Brad Fisher Eastern U18 U18 VMFL
Pick 79 Karl Norman Wangaratta Rovers VCFL
Pick 84 Mick Martyn Kangaroos AFL

2003 National Draft
Pick 2 Andrew Walker Bendigo U18 U18 VCFL
Pick 57 Ricky Mott Fremantle Rookies
Pick 63 Glen Bowyer Hawthorn AFL
Pick 69 Jordan Bannister Essendon* AFL
Pick 72 Adrian De Luca Port Melbourne VFL
Pick 75 Stephen Kenna Box Hill Hawks VFL
Pick 78
Pick 80



The following two drafts we've drafted as well as anyone might have hoped considering our picks.

2004 National Draft
Pick 9 Jordan Russell West Adelaide SANFL
Pick 25 Adam Hartlett West Adelaide SANFL
Pick 41 Luke Blackwell Swan Districts WAFL

Pick 73 Chris Bryan Frankston VFL
Pick 77 Anthony Raso Dandenong Stingrays U18

2005 National Draft
Pick 1 Marc Murphy Oakleigh Chargers U18
Pick 4 Josh Kennedy East Fremantle WAFL
Pick 20 Paul Bower Peel Thunder WAFL
Pick 36 Jake Edwards Western Jets U18


2005 in particular looks like the best draft we've ever had. We got the best small, the best tall and two handy guys who (at this early stage) look like they'll play a lot of games between them.

I've marked those I think have a long term career in front of them in bold. No idea on Raso at this stage as I haven't seen him and he's still young. Very pleased they took a punt with an underage player with a late pick though.

Over the last two years that's 7 and possibly 8 long term players out of 9 picks.

Throw in Rookie's such as Bentick, Thornton and Carrazzo and Eddie Betts and Nick Stevens in the Pre-season and we're doing extremely well. Anyone suggesting that's not good recruiting has very little idea about the odds involved in picking players.
Also got Stevens in the PSD in 2003. When it seemed obvious we were going to get Stevens I would have gone down a normal line of drafting in 2003. Walker/Stevens, equivalent of 1 & 2 picks of other sides, was probably better than a normal sides 1st and 2nd round picks anyway. And we got Scotland for a 3rd round pick, the odds being he'd be better than most 3rd rounders.

Recruiting is very ordinary overall but I'fd also like to see those of the other clubs too. Draft picks don't always turn out irrespective of what club your from.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:31 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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jim wrote:
Also got Stevens in the PSD in 2003. When it seemed obvious we were going to get Stevens I would have gone down a normal line of drafting in 2003. Walker/Stevens, equivalent of 1 & 2 picks of other sides, was probably better than a normal sides 1st and 2nd round picks anyway. And we got Scotland for a 3rd round pick, the odds being he'd be better than most 3rd rounders.


Sorry, your muddling me a bit here Jim. :?

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 10:46 am 
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Wayne Johnston

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Pafloyul wrote:
jim wrote:
Also got Stevens in the PSD in 2003. When it seemed obvious we were going to get Stevens I would have gone down a normal line of drafting in 2003. Walker/Stevens, equivalent of 1 & 2 picks of other sides, was probably better than a normal sides 1st and 2nd round picks anyway. And we got Scotland for a 3rd round pick, the odds being he'd be better than most 3rd rounders.


Sorry, your muddling me a bit here Jim. :?
Most sides get simple round 1 & 2 picks. My belief that year that Walker and Stevens (given his class) were that equivalent despite the loss of picks. Hence, given that senario, we should not have gone down the line of picking too many re-treads in the draft as we did that year. Scotland being an exception given we got him for a 3rd rounder, as he would've been better than most 3rd round selections. Collingwood supporters were bleeding at the time.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 12:33 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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jim wrote:
Most sides get simple round 1 & 2 picks. My belief that year that Walker and Stevens (given his class) were that equivalent despite the loss of picks. Hence, given that senario, we should not have gone down the line of picking too many re-treads in the draft as we did that year. Scotland being an exception given we got him for a 3rd rounder, as he would've been better than most 3rd round selections.


Yep, agreed.

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 1:24 pm 
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Robert Walls
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The argument that we stuffed up by going for retreads is easy in hindsight. In defence of those who made the decisions at the time, we have had a great deal of success historically with retreads. Think of the '95 premiership team, and you can see that it had Pearce, Rice, Clape, Manton, and Hogg. Even in 1999 we made a Grand Final with Trent Hotton, Glenn Manton and the like.

The difference between 95 and 2003 was that those guys (95) had Kernahan, Williams, Peter Dean et al to play alongside. It helped them look better than they may otherwise have been.

While those involved with recruting at the time (2003) should have been able to recognise the differences and adopt a new mindset they didn't. I'm not trying to defend the recruiting - but it is easy to see how the people involved based their mistakes on those who have previously been lauded as successes. Also, as someone who was an avid reader of The Blue View at the time - I don't remember too many people coming out and criticising the recruiting at the time.

Drafting is hard.... it is only hindsight that makes it easy.

Move on... to me the current side is showing some real glimpses of our future.


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 2:49 pm 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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Molly wrote:
The argument that we stuffed up by going for retreads is easy in hindsight. In defence of those who made the decisions at the time, we have had a great deal of success historically with retreads. Think of the '95 premiership team, and you can see that it had Pearce, Rice, Clape, Manton, and Hogg. Even in 1999 we made a Grand Final with Trent Hotton, Glenn Manton and the like.

The difference between 95 and 2003 was that those guys (95) had Kernahan, Williams, Peter Dean et al to play alongside. It helped them look better than they may otherwise have been.

While those involved with recruting at the time (2003) should have been able to recognise the differences and adopt a new mindset they didn't. I'm not trying to defend the recruiting - but it is easy to see how the people involved based their mistakes on those who have previously been lauded as successes. Also, as someone who was an avid reader of The Blue View at the time - I don't remember too many people coming out and criticising the recruiting at the time.

Drafting is hard.... it is only hindsight that makes it easy.

Move on... to me the current side is showing some real glimpses of our future.


Clape, Rice, Pearce etc were good quality top ups..players to fill gaps in what was a team that had a good core of class players.....Pagan tried to build a team out of top ups and thats where he made the mistake...
Another example is Port Adelaide..they aquired Pickett and Hardwick to win a flag and fill gaps..thats what retreds are for..not providing the core foundation of the team...
Laidley has tried what Pagan did and it doesnt work........the only way to rebuild is with quality kids and then add your top ups....remembering your top ups have to be good quality as well like Pickett and Hardwick were,... not players like McGough, Ackland and Fiora who Thomas used to top up the Saints list...

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 3:08 pm 
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Robert Walls
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Fully agree Elwood.... just trying to define where the retread thinking may have gone awry


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 3:16 pm 
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Geoff Southby
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Look, I think most knew that but there were extenuating circumstances in 2003 - on top of our proximity to the cap, much of the middle tier being moved on, the loss of our senior tier in 2002/2003 - the Blues took a few punts and it didn't work out.

on top of all those trades to clear the decks there was the usage of 5 very late picks - most when it was only Richmond and Carlton still in the draft - which saw 2 non-drafted VFL players and 3 'retreads' given a go.

There was a lot happening at the Club and many of these late picks didn't / havent' quite worked. It should come as no surprise that such late picks didnt succeed.... (the grating factor is that Richmond pulled Tuck, Hartigan and the Crows pulled Hudson all very late in that year~!)


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PostPosted: Mon Jul 17, 2006 4:35 pm 
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Bob Chitty

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I think our drafting has been reasonably successful in the recent years considering the penalties. The one that still kills me is 2000 - Livingstone (4) and Sporn (11) - when you look at the players still left in the draft and how useful they might have been....

Kerr, Kane Cornes, Shaun Burgoyne, Jamie Charman


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