Synbad wrote:
Quote:
But were still miles behind because even though we have improved.. so has everybody else... thats why were last... again...
That's been the problem for us. We may have improved our list with the inclusion of Murphy, Kennedy and Bower, and seen improvement in Simpson, Thornton and Walker..., but the other teams have improved more.
Is this trend going to continue, will we improve enough to surpass others above us, have we got the right mix of experience, talent and youth to move up the ladder? Are we good enough?
If we compare last year's ladder with this year's, there's a few teams who have remained at the top in WCE, Crows, Sydney, StKilda, and even the Demons are still up there.
Other teams have actually improved one way or another, such as
Doggies (making the finals after floundering down the bottom for 5-6 years), Freo has improved 5%, Tigers have improved by at least a game and knocking on the door of the 8, Hawks have improved by 3 wins, and Maggies have improved by a massive 8 games and 40%.
The Maggies have gone from 15th (with PP) to finals. The Doggies and Richmond who have been at the bottom for 4-5 years are about 8th,and the Hawks are no doubt on the up with their youth driven draft picks showing good signs, just as the Saints did post 2003, after floundering at the bottom for years.
Teams that have gone down this year:
Kangas 17%
Geelong 9%
Port 7%
Bris 15%
Ess 11%.
Given the depth of youth I dare say that we are where the Saints were in 2002, and next year with 3-4 quality picks, we'll be where they were in 2003. This does not imply a finals berth, but does prove that youth takes time to develop, and they do, and we have enough of them, so we should. We have Murphy (Ball), Kennedy (Kosi), Waite (Reiwoldt), Russell, Bower, Blackwell, Carrazzo....heaps of them.
There's no doubt kids do need experience around them, and in 2007 we will have Coleman medallist Fevola (Gherig), Kouta (Harvey), Whitnall (Hamill), Lappin (Ozzie Jones), Thornton (Hughton), Stevens (Black), Scotland (Thompson), Houla...
In addition, everyteam has players older than 28 and approaching retirement age. We have Kouta, French and Lappin, whereas other teams in the 8 have heaps more...hey all have more than us. Have a look at the Crows, 4 BIG injuries to older statesmen, and they become ordinary...Age does catch up with teams as it did with the BLues, but that's long past us now.
Teams will decline for many reasons, including aging lists, injuries, suspensions, form, coaching and so on, but it is the age factor that will hold us in good stead. Add this year's draftees, to our improvement this year (from floggings), and another preseason and few more games for our existing kids, I believe we have every reason to rise, unless Kennedy, Bower, Blackwell, Gibbs, Russell, Hartlett....(the kids) are not as good as some say.
Teams to go down or stay down after 2006 that we should overtake should be Kangas, Essendon*, Bears, and I if everything goes right for us and we start to get 4 quarters together, we could pass, Hawks, Tigers,and maybe Port. Start 2008, I expect to see the rapid decline of Crows, Geelong, Maggies and Melbourne.
Collingwood went up, and so we should to. Them, the Doggies, Freo, Tigers have shown us the way, and give us good reason to believe that our list of good and elite youth can take us to greater heights than floundering on the bottom for much longer.
OK, we'll be in our 4th year of a 5 year sentence, but suerly we have shown signs in almost every game that we can compete and beat most teams in parts of the game. All we have to do is improve strength and stamina, which in turn will improve our concentration, and hopefully our skills. And we should improve somewhat in all those areas, as the kids get older and wiser.
The kids have proven in the 2nd half of 2006, that they like to play, and can play free flowing footy, and score goals, and if we can improve just a bit, and the game plan improves just a bit....and it should...we could end up being the surprise packet in 2007, not circa 2004 with retreads, but with kids rising to the challenge and taking their opportunity with gusto.