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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 8:23 am 
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Stephen Kernahan

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 10:35 am
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mikkey wrote:
Just to make things a little clearer. When they talk about "$ 7 M debt" - the way I read the numbers - they are talking about how much the total liabilities exceed assets. That does not automatically mean it is the exact amount owed to anyone. I.e. when we first built the Legends Stand we "owed" (financed) much more (I think it was more then 12 million for the stand if my memory serves me right).



12 months ago we owed $2.7m on the stands. Whatever the club values the stands at doesnt alter that debt.

In 2004 the administration crowed they had reduced our long term debt from over 8 million dollars to $1.637m.
Since then the combined entity of football club/social club has made a profit every year.
Yet we are 7 million dollars in debt. :?

2 years ago the president stated we had formulated a 3 year plan to return the club to a cash neutral position.
Today we appear to be going backwards :?

What are the facts?

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 8:58 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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Blue Vain wrote:
mikkey wrote:
Just to make things a little clearer. When they talk about "$ 7 M debt" - the way I read the numbers - they are talking about how much the total liabilities exceed assets. That does not automatically mean it is the exact amount owed to anyone. I.e. when we first built the Legends Stand we "owed" (financed) much more (I think it was more then 12 million for the stand if my memory serves me right).



12 months ago we owed $2.7m on the stands. Whatever the club values the stands at doesnt alter that debt.

In 2004 the administration crowed they had reduced our long term debt from over 8 million dollars to $1.637m.
Since then the combined entity of football club/social club has made a profit every year.
Yet we are 7 million dollars in debt. :?

2 years ago the president stated we had formulated a 3 year plan to return the club to a cash neutral position.
Today we appear to be going backwards :?

What are the facts?


You could start by reading the financial reports. In 2004 the SC reported a loss of 9 Million and the debts were also reported in both FC and SC reports. There was simply a shift in debt structure. Looking at the documents before me I can't see a base for your statement in the second paragraph.
However, yes we are going backwards. The debts are just too large. PP and the Legends Stand are a white elephant that kills the club (e.g. we still owe 1.5 Mill on the Heroes (Bicg Jack) Stand - and the current Board can do nothing but shuffle the deck chairs. Only a drastic measure like the handover of PP to the AFL can really help.

It should also be mentioned that our revenue now is only half of Collingwood's.

PS: I said yesterday that the combined liabilities of FC and SC were about 17 Million. After re-reading the report I can see there are more of 3 Mill owed by the SC to the FC. So the total combined liabilities seem to be more like 14 Mill . However it is still nearly a hopeless situation.

The Board has been completely hamstrung by the white elephants since they came to office and blaming them is completely unfair.

However, drastic action has to be taken or the Club WILL be taken over by the AFL and relocated up north. As our friend Fatprick said this morning on SEN (and my god many people are happy about our demise on radio this moning) "there was a stench of death"at the presser. And people wonder why we can't get more sponsors.

So we need some new blood on the board with some very good business / financial skills.

I also think the last thing we need is more instability. No matter how much some here hate Pagan - if the club would move on him it just would make matters wors IMO.

The more I look at the numbers and take the current membership numbers and sponsor sitution into account - the more I have to say it is 5 to 12. Make sure you tell your friends - people HAVE to buy their membership NOW.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:15 am 
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Rod Ashman

Joined: Sun Apr 03, 2005 11:48 am
Posts: 2891
Blue Vain wrote:

12 months ago we owed $2.7m on the stands. Whatever the club values the stands at doesnt alter that debt.

In 2004 the administration crowed they had reduced our long term debt from over 8 million dollars to $1.637m.
Since then the combined entity of football club/social club has made a profit every year.
Yet we are 7 million dollars in debt. :?

2 years ago the president stated we had formulated a 3 year plan to return the club to a cash neutral position.
Today we appear to be going backwards :?

What are the facts?


From memory we acheived the magical $6.5 million drop in the debt on the stands by getting a redirection order which transfered future revenues from the AFL for our share of the sale of Waverly straight to the bank.

Looking at the following quote:

Quote:
Not withstanding the current asset deficiency and net asset deficiency of the
Club, the directors believe that the application of the going concern basis of
accounting is appropriate due to the following mitigating factors:
• Ongoing support of the Football Club’s bankers and Australian Football
League (AFL). The AFL support is in the form of a re-direction order for 12
months of future AFL distributions to be paid direct to the Club’s bankers,
National Australia Bank (NAB), in exchange for a $4m facility. The facility
was renewed (restated to $4m) for a further 12 months upon written notice
by Carlton and the AFL to the NAB on 15 October 2005. The Club also has
the opportunity to avail itself (upon AFL acceptance of the Club submission)
of AFL financial assistance via an Annual Special Distribution and/or a
Facility Development Reserve.
• The Club will receive payments from the AFL during the next financial year
under agreements which involve settlement of existing contracts and
includes rights for Carlton Football Club re-locating home games away from
Optus Oval.

• Expected increase in ongoing cashflows as a result of the above mentioned
agreement through increased match returns, corporate sales and
sponsorship.


The first dot point is saying that we went and borrowed another $4m from the bank 12 months ago via another redirection order from the AFL (presumably for TV rights revenue). Since this redirection was renewed for another 12 months in October, it sounds like it was put in place when we commence the first year of our 3 year financial plan.

Why would get ourselve back into debt I hear you all ask? I guess because our cash flow was so bad we would not have been a going concern without a pot of cash to actually keep the club running while the three year plan did its work. It doesn't matter if you have $2m debt or $10 debt, if you can't pay them when they're due you're insolvent.

Now I'm not exactly sure on the second dot point, but that sounds awfully like we haven't yet been paid all of the one off cash payment that the AFL was giving us for relocating to TD, but that there is more coming this financial year. If was in the order of $2-3m depending on which newspaper report you read at the time, so perhaps the deal was that this payment would be made over 2-3 years.

Overall, it sounds like we were working to a plan. The plan has slipped because we struggled to get sponsors, and gate receipts probably slumped at the end of last season as well. But overall we're still within the tolerable limits of the plan because the bank hasn't forclosed on us. I would suggest that if the sponsorship/onfield performance problem doesn't improve this year then that probably won't be the case by the end of the season and that is when we will be fore to swallow our pride and go to the AFL for access to the Competative Balance Fund.

As Patrick Smith said in the Australian today, the one thing the club can hold its head high on is that to date we haven't gone straight to the CBF, and that we've tried to get ourselves out of this mess.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:22 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

Joined: Thu Mar 02, 2006 9:51 am
Posts: 4919
molsey wrote:
A default is a default and Banks make decisions on reclamation of cash not on personal affiliations. But I take your point - if its AFL guaranteed there's no issue (as well as being impossible to reclaim if we're no longer a going concern). A bank wouldnt want to run such a complex business - well let me say couldn't.

So its really the servicing costs that hurt us - one report said up to $500k pa


Heard Malouf on the radio this morning and he explained that the 4 million from the NAB via the AFL is the dividend we receive from the AFL at the end of the year. Carlton along with 8 or so other clubs have chosen to have the dividend money available at the start to assist with cash flow. It is an interest bearing loan only due to the fact we are requested the money prior to the end of the season when the 4 million becomes available. We do not pay the 4 million back.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:22 am 
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Bruce Doull
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Why shouldnt we go for the club balance fund ?
Smith does really want us to do it the hard way....

And why would you pay off a debt just to go and get yourself another loan????

That says to me you dont have a plan.

Rather than slashing everything.. this board must make sure its brining in revenue streams.
With the wy were making splashes these days and Collos face of death on your television screen.. theyre not coming.

This board has no idea about how to make something have the perception its not already dead.. even if it is.

Nightcrawler as a man of the marketing / advertising world and some of the others on this site that are in that industry surely you agree?

Were doing a fantastic job to tell everybody... "Keep away!"

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:22 am 
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Stephen Kernahan

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 10:35 am
Posts: 18078
mikkey wrote:
[ Looking at the documents before me I can't see a base for your statement in the second paragraph.
However, yes we are going backwards.


Which part cant you see a base for. :?
The club stated in 2004 that the "Carlton Group" long term debt was reduced from over 8 million dollars to $1.637 million.

Fact.

We now have a debt of 7 million.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:23 am 
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Stephen Kernahan
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One positive - The season is only three weeks away. Imagine if we'd announced this result at the end of last year, we would have been talking about it for months. Hopefully soon we can start talking footy.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:29 am 
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Stephen Kernahan

Joined: Mon Feb 28, 2005 10:35 am
Posts: 18078
nightcrawler wrote:
From memory we acheived the magical $6.5 million drop in the debt on the stands by getting a redirection order which transfered future revenues from the AFL for our share of the sale of Waverly straight to the bank.


Sale of Waverley funds.
Heroes project.
AFL income for the Optus Oval buyout.
Increased memberships etc all went to debt reduction.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:32 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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Blue Vain wrote:
mikkey wrote:
[ Looking at the documents before me I can't see a base for your statement in the second paragraph.
However, yes we are going backwards.


Which part cant you see a base for. :?
The club stated in 2004 that the "Carlton Group" long term debt was reduced from over 8 million dollars to $1.637 million.

Fact.

We now have a debt of 7 million.


"long term debt" is the key word. The debts were restructered and moved into the NAB "facilities" guaranteed by the AFL. The club never said that the total debt was only 1.6 milion. It said it restructerd the debt. The debts have increased by about 950 K which is equal to the combined loss of FC and SC in 05.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:33 am 
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Bruce Doull
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Look its as simple as this.. no matter what.. we will make huge losses and the debt will continue to grow because this board is unable to sell the club to sponsors.
there is a 20 million d0llar turnover difference between Carlton and Collingwood.
Every banana knows that were down to the bare bones because we have a limited revenue stream .
Which means.. that unless something changes (like new ideas ) we will have to rely on handouts.... because there is not enough money coming in.

again i urge people to vote for a change because we need fresh ideas . fresh blood!!!

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:34 am 
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Bruce Doull
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Location: In the box.
mikkey wrote:
Blue Vain wrote:
mikkey wrote:
[ Looking at the documents before me I can't see a base for your statement in the second paragraph.
However, yes we are going backwards.


Which part cant you see a base for. :?
The club stated in 2004 that the "Carlton Group" long term debt was reduced from over 8 million dollars to $1.637 million.

Fact.

We now have a debt of 7 million.


"long term debt" is the key word. The debts were restructered and moved into the NAB "facilities" guaranteed by the AFL. The club never said that the total debt was only 1.6 milion. It said it restructerd the debt. The debts have increased by about 950 K which is equal to the combined loss of FC and SC in 05.


BV, i think youre arguing with a guy who understands rubbery figures.....

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:39 am 
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Geoff Southby
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Page 20 of the accounts is relevant here. In it the Club described the $4m facility which was renewed through teh AFL to NAB after it was substantially paid down through AFL distributions. It seems the Club had to redraw this based on the upcoming years AFL distributions in October 2005.

There has been a substantial improvement in Operating Funds flow - $6m over 2004. Until this gets another couple of million better we will need to roll the AFL dstribution / NAB facility again. The benefit of this is that we will actually get the utilise the AFL distribution (improved for TV rights come 2007) for ongoing purposes. The key to doing this is improved operating cashflow which requires (notwithstanding Synners comments) a) ongoing expenditure restraint and b) improved revenues. Revenues have to come largely from us and of course improved on-field performances. Without that we'll be permanently rotating and rolling our debt. Answer - everyone sign up even if you're not going to watch.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:42 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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JuzzCarlton wrote:
Spin can't conceal strife - Ugly Hag.
Or was that spin from the board?



Getting rid of Camporeale didn't send a dreadful message to me. :wink:

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:42 am 
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Laurie Kerr

Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 143
The Shag wrote:
i dont know much on this subject as i have tried to exclude myself from conversation about it - in fear that we might soon see that last carlton game. but all that aside, how the f*** can we expect to get out of a $7mil debt? not to mention the interest wed have to pay on it annually....im scared


Of course it's a concern - but generally clubs can trade their way out of these problems....however, it takes a number of years. If I remember correctly, before Brian Cook went to Geelong they were in about the same position as us - a huge debt, and not much success on or off the field. Over about 6 - 7 odd years, they are in a much healthier position. It is possible, but it will take time.

From memory, the debt on the Legends Stand was $12m ish - and now the debt on the stand is $2.5 m (according to the Herald Sun) - that decrease has happened over 10 years.

In the long run we'll be OK - but there are some tough years ahead in the short term. This is why we need supporters to become members and the corporates to hang in there while we are anchored on the bottom of the ladder.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:46 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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oops... see below instead


Last edited by mikkey on Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:49 am, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:48 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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Synbad wrote:
Look its as simple as this.. no matter what.. we will make huge losses and the debt will continue to grow because this board is unable to sell the club to sponsors.
there is a 20 million d0llar turnover difference between Carlton and Collingwood.
Every banana knows that were down to the bare bones because we have a limited revenue stream .
Which means.. that unless something changes (like new ideas ) we will have to rely on handouts.... because there is not enough money coming in.

again i urge people to vote for a change because we need fresh ideas . fresh blood!!!


Firstly I agree we need new blood - but it better be very talented new blood. The situation is very difficult and I do not blame the Board to the degree you do. I also do not think a couplde of sponsorships are enough to turn the ship. I also believe there is a good reason why we cant get more sponsors. The brand is very damaged with a stench of corruption and death about it. Very hard to recruit big sponsors in this situation.

Unfortunately something of a catch 22 situation. We actually need to get out of the mess before we can attract new sponsors - doubt we can get out of the mess by trying to attract new sponsors.

The more I read the SC and FC annual reports the more I get depressed. But reading through it I also feel more sympathy with the current Board. The sheit they inherited was so bad - nearly impossible to get out of without a really large cash injection.

It is like - say you own a house and owe 1 million in mortgage - and it is valued at 2 million and you borrow based on the perceived equity another 700 K(and spend it). Then it is detected that the house is build on shifting sand and the real value of the house and land is only 500 K. At the same time you get sacked from your job and can't do the repayments. Thats about the situation the club is in...


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:52 am 
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Bruce Doull
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Look the continuing blaming of the Elliiot board is detrimental to this club.. because what theyre doing is deflecting criticism elsewhere.... thats ok to do and quite common but in this case its alienating supporters of this club that have traditionally supported this club in money and kind.
Elliots gone!!!
Forget him!

Now the question is... Do we really want to keep fragmenting this club forever just for self preservation ?????

Collins job is to now go to the Elliot people and extend the hand of reconciliation ...

You cant have half the club fighting this.

In the meantime bring in fresh blood!!!
Or youll get more of the same....

Thats all!!!!

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:55 am 
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Alex Jesaulenko
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Synbad wrote:
Collins job is to now go to the Elliot people and extend the hand of reconciliation ...

You cant have half the club fighting this.



Do you mean people like Kevin Hall, Barry Armstrong and Wes Lofts? I'm all for extending the olive branch of friendship but weren't these the players who got us into this "poo" in the first place? :wink:

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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:59 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick
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AGRO wrote:
Synbad wrote:
Collins job is to now go to the Elliot people and extend the hand of reconciliation ...

You cant have half the club fighting this.



Do you mean people like Kevin Hall, Barry Armstrong and Wes Lofts? I'm all for extending the olive branch of friendship but weren't these the players who got us into this "poo" in the first place? :wink:


Would anyone consider "Elliot people" as "new blood"? Woudl any of them be able to make a difference financially? Would any of them increase the clubs credibility with potential sponsors and the AFL (which really holds the key financially if we can do the PP arrangement).


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 07, 2006 9:59 am 
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Bruce Doull
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AGRO wrote:
Synbad wrote:
Collins job is to now go to the Elliot people and extend the hand of reconciliation ...

You cant have half the club fighting this.



Do you mean people like Kevin Hall, Barry Armstrong and Wes Lofts? I'm all for extending the olive branch of friendship but weren't these the players who got us into this "poo" in the first place? :wink:


People like Kerr and Hall pumped squillions into this club out of their own pockets....

Whats happened has happened.. but when you get rid of these people youre getting rid of alot of old Carlton money and support...

The other thing is tghis board is a tightarsed board....

Someone will out of their own inadequate performance try and bribe money for votes...
But right now its a case of "Give a man a fish and feed him for a day... teach them to fish and you feed them for a lifetime"
I dont want a token donation to the club by people that cant make a difference on board level.. i want new.. fresh.. virginal talent.... :wink:

But all those Carlton supporters on the outter must be brought back .
If were to fisht this we must fight it united and with an eye to the future not today!!!

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