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Percentage Buffs
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Author:  Barnesy [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 1:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Percentage Buffs
Anyone able too give a basic answer into how 4.2% can be made up by us or lost by Essendon* over the next two weeks so we don't finish last.

Are we talking for example if Essendon* won by 20 points and we lost by 35 points this week how far further would it blow out.

If the roles were reversed how much would we reel in?

Any guesses.
Author:  billy_bongo [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 2:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Percentage Buffs
Barnesy wrote:
Anyone able too give a basic answer into how 4.2% can be made up by us or lost by Essendon* over the next two weeks so we don't finish last.

Are we talking for example if Essendon* won by 20 points and we lost by 35 points this week how far further would it blow out.

If the roles were reversed how much would we reel in?

Any guesses.


Are you really a blond with big tits?
Author:  billc3 [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 2:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Percentage Buffs
billy_bongo wrote:
Barnesy wrote:
Anyone able too give a basic answer into how 4.2% can be made up by us or lost by Essendon* over the next two weeks so we don't finish last.

Are we talking for example if Essendon* won by 20 points and we lost by 35 points this week how far further would it blow out.

If the roles were reversed how much would we reel in?

Any guesses.


Are you really a blond with big tits?


The avatar suggests maybe....just be careful of what you might find "down below".....??

(Very Roughly)

Firtsly...
we either both have to lose...or both win. (see blonde reference)

Assuming we both lose......

If we lose by 2 (cummulative over 2 weeks) point and they lose by about 120points

Or assuming we both win...the reverse is true
We win by about 120 over the next two and Essendon* wins by only 2

If we win one and they don't we are 15th, if they win one and we don't.....

Image
Author:  The Duke [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:16 pm ]
Post subject: 
If we are competetive with both our last games (3 goals) ans they get spanked by Richmond and the Frogs by 80+ points, it's theirs.

We all must pray now.
Author:  verbs [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:30 pm ]
Post subject: 
The AFL site has a pretty cool predictor which allows you to choose 12, 30 and 60 point margins or draws for upcoming games.

If we were to lose our next two by 12 points each and Essendon* lost their next two by 60 points each, we would still be bottom, but by just 0.3%.

http://afl.com.au/?pg=ladderpredictor&spg=default
Author:  Barnesy [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 3:38 pm ]
Post subject: 
verbs wrote:
The AFL site has a pretty cool predictor which allows you to choose 12, 30 and 60 point margins or draws for upcoming games.

If we were to lose our next two by 12 points each and Essendon* lost their next two by 60 points each, we would still be bottom, but by just 0.3%.

http://carltonfc.com.au/?pg=ladderpredictor&spg=default


thanks for your feedback.

Unless we win pick one in the National and PSD is ours.
Author:  CK95 [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 4:02 pm ]
Post subject: 
It's not just the margins though. It's the total points scored in the game that affects %
Author:  verbs [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 4:09 pm ]
Post subject: 
CK95 wrote:
It's not just the margins though. It's the total points scored in the game that affects %


To put it in more complex terminology, if you lose by a greater percentage than what your current percentage is, your percentage will decrease. Conversely, if you lose by a smaller percentage than what your current percentage is, your percentage will increase. Switch it for wins.
Author:  strangeblue [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 4:21 pm ]
Post subject: 
CK95 wrote:
It's not just the margins though. It's the total points scored in the game that affects %


NERD ALERT!

:wink:
Author:  The Duke [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 4:31 pm ]
Post subject: 
http://afl.allthestats.com/misc/ladderpredict.php
Author:  CK95 [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 4:37 pm ]
Post subject: 
Verbs & strangeblue….you are both right
Author:  Headplant [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:03 pm ]
Post subject: 
Or another way to look at it: Assuming points against is around 2200 at end of season, 4.5% of 2200 is about 100 points ... so we have to make up about 100 points diff compared with Essendon* to improve our percentage by 4.5%.
Author:  popeye [ Tue Aug 22, 2006 9:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
who gibbs a toss ...
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