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PostPosted: Mon Sep 18, 2006 11:45 pm 
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Geoff Southby
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JuzzCarlton wrote:
Why haven't the Eagles, Dockers, etc. spotted quality picks such as Betts, Davey, Thornton, Morris, Boyd or Jolly who were drafted by Vic clubs outside the draft?


Well I spose it would be better if every single pick was analysed instead of him picking and choosing to suit his article.

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 12:15 am 
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Mike Fitzpatrick

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Cazzesman wrote:
Elwood Blues1 wrote:
molsey wrote:
TheBluesMuse wrote:
Recruiters are paid to do a job and ours failed in 2000.

Too simplistic?


No, not really. My point was that it shouldnt be pinned down to 'recruiters not doing enough work' when they had details of all players, took a punt for whatever reason, and in hindsight its been shown to have not been the right decision. Recruiters may have done lots of research on S.Burgoyne and felt for whatver reason that he wasnt going to make it; maybe he was flighty, maybe he had an attitude, I dont know....my argument is it is not appropriate to say they didnt do enough research. You can say in hindsight that those picks werent the right ones and no one would disagree with you.

Add development, injury, one on one coaching, lifestyles, position selected, mentoring, continued growth...and you get the finished picture.

Add the fact that 2000 was our only year of embracing the draft and Carlton fans continue to kick at it. If we'd kept early draft picks say in 97 or 99 or 01 then maybe we wouldn't get so upset about 2000? Our Club has continually thumbed its nose at conventional wisdom in the draft and that's what is really the upsetting bit.


I'm with the BlueMuse....you take the job you wear the responsibility and outcomes..coaches get sacked through poor results...recruiters have to suffer the same. Saying all that S Burgoyne was less likely to succeed away from SA and his bro ...and the club had been burnt by Troy Bond and probably saw a similar situation with Burgoyne.....


Elwood the CFC recruiting staff was completely revamped prior to the 2004 draft so you got your wish. More revamping has gone on at the start of 2006.

The pre/post 2004 CFC recruiting group is like chalk and cheese.

Regards Cazzesman


Appreciate that and I am happy with Wayne Hughes and his new crew :wink: and looking forward to this upcoming draft.
I also appreciate the resource situation in comparison to the other heavy weight clubs and the unlevel playing field as far as developing younger players in comparison to SA/WA clubs.

I also hope Denis Pagans need for instant success to remedy his own career problems doesnt impact on Wayne Hughes and his teams decision making.....unlike Denis we are all in it for the long haul and dont need him making too many short term decisions as Tyrants was happy to point out in one of his most recent topics...

re: Shane OSullivan..maybe one day he can tell his story and let some of his critics(your truly) understand how he was overuled by David Parkin?Elliott? etc.....would luv to hear his side of the story and judge him on that as well as the obvious stuff we have to go on...

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 7:18 am 
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Stephen Kernahan
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AGRO wrote:
Cazzesman wrote:
Elwood the CFC recruiting staff was completely revamped prior to the 2004 draft so you got your wish. More revamping has gone on at the start of 2006.

The pre/post 2004 CFC recruiting group is like chalk and cheese.

Regards Cazzesman


Cazz - can I put forward the theory that Shane O'Sullivan is unfairly maligned on this forum and by Carlton supporters in general.

My take on it (and I could be wrong :oops: ) is that where O'Sullivan has been given free rain to pick the player he recommend (in particular late picks - Houlihan, Simpson, Fisher) he does get it right, although he does get it wrong eg Sporn (but then a lot of recruiters dont have 100% track record).

The problem when O'Sullivan was in charge of recruiting a lot of his recommendations were rejected by the Parkin philosophy of "give me strong mature bodies or we are looking for a particular type of player" rather than selecting the next best available player.

Is this a fair analysis???


Totally fair.

Regards Cazzesman

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 7:38 am 
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Robert Walls

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Shane had good success at the tail of the draft - Hamill, Houlihan, etc. These guys just weren't on the horizon. However, he does have his share of blame at the top end. He was unlucky - injury ravaged guys like Livo, for example. And he certainly was a victim of our "quick fix" recruiting mentality. But some of the guys we recruited with high picks he has to wear.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:33 am 
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Geoff Southby
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Pafloyul wrote:
This is close enough to me. 8)

Heavs wrote:
The players we picked could well have been stars as well. It's all about how they develop once they get into a professional football club environment. Some wanted it more.

Love your hindsight vision though. Top Notch Stuff.


Oops... my mistake... thought you'd done an 'evil' paraphrase of my stuff.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:36 am 
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Geoff Southby
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Elwood Blues1 wrote:
I also hope Denis Pagans need for instant success to remedy his own career problems doesnt impact on Wayne Hughes and his teams decision making.....unlike Denis we are all in it for the long haul and dont need him making too many short term decisions as Tyrants was happy to point out in one of his most recent topics...



This to me is the key risk for Carlton in the next couple of months. Any jumpstarting of the list without picking the best player runs the risk of diminishing our long term flag aspirations. To go through all this pain and only come up with a few finals performances in say 2008-2009 would undermine the whole thing...


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:44 am 
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Vale 1953-2020
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Pafloyul wrote:
Moshe25 wrote:
If Livo:
1. Didn't have a life threatening bowel injury;
2. Hadn't f#$@^#d up his back;
3. Wasn't immediately played on gorillas like Neitz in his first 15 games (WHEN HE'D SPENT ALL HIS JUNIOR FOOTY AS A FORWARD)

then who knows? We may be saying what geniuses we were in 2000.

Except for freaks like Reiwolt and Kosi; Hodge, Ball, and Judd; Cooney; Delidio; and Murphy and Thomas, it's all a crap shoot. It's statistical. You're not going for certainties - you're going for high likelihoods.

So blaming "poor recruiting in 2000" for our ills is not only simplistic; it's missing the point......


Why have you only analysed Livo?



What else do you want me to do with him? :shock:


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:45 am 
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Stephen Silvagni
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molsey wrote:
Elwood Blues1 wrote:
I also hope Denis Pagans need for instant success to remedy his own career problems doesnt impact on Wayne Hughes and his teams decision making.....unlike Denis we are all in it for the long haul and dont need him making too many short term decisions as Tyrants was happy to point out in one of his most recent topics...



This to me is the key risk for Carlton in the next couple of months. Any jumpstarting of the list without picking the best player runs the risk of diminishing our long term flag aspirations. To go through all this pain and only come up with a few finals performances in say 2008-2009 would undermine the whole thing...


Do you seriously believe we're on the path to winning a flag in the long term?

Long term = 7-10 years?


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 8:57 am 
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Geoff Southby
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verbs wrote:
Do you seriously believe we're on the path to winning a flag in the long term?

Long term = 7-10 years?


I believe it has to be the plan fo any football Club. Structuring our list accordingly is the challenge.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 9:02 am 
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Stephen Silvagni
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molsey wrote:
verbs wrote:
Do you seriously believe we're on the path to winning a flag in the long term?

Long term = 7-10 years?


I believe it has to be the plan fo any football Club. Structuring our list accordingly is the challenge.


When you look at the talent WCE have structured their list around, yet they haven't won it (nor are they any certainty to this year), or say the Saints, well it's obviously quite a challenge indeed.

I thought 2006 would be considered a perfect year for Carlton. Through many games we were very competitive, secured the number 1 draft choice and set ourselves up for a real crack at 1 & 2 next year.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 19, 2006 10:42 pm 
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Harry Vallence

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Damian Barrett what are you thinking? Ryan Crowley an integral part of the team.......pffffttt and more pffttt....


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 20, 2006 9:02 am 
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Robert Walls
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I'd have him Rod.
Got that tough edge we lack a bit of. What about trade fisher for him?

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2006 12:36 am 
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Rod Ashman
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Mordan wrote:
ACHILLES wrote:
So what your telling me is that our recruiting officer did a good job even though he did not pick up 1 decent player apart from Wiggo in the draft(Once more talent comes in Wiggo will be gone aswell).....
Do me a favor have a good look at the list of the draftees in the year 2000 especially the second half of it we missed out on alot talented young players for that we are copping hardcore!m Once you have had a good look at it come back and let me know if you stil disagree with me.


It's possible for a recruiting officer to do a great job, and end up with no players from a draft on the list 6 years later. The choice of player is only one factor of many that determines what happens to a player over their career.

You just CANNOT judge recruitment based on hindsight. It just doesn't work.

Not doing enough research, choosing players for the wrong reasons etc are all valid criticisms, but you can't work backwards and say that we probably did those things because the draft hasn't worked out for us 6 years later.

You talk a load of rubbish It's possible for a recruiting officer to do a great job, and end up with no players from a draft on the list 6 years later,duhhhhhhh :!: :? :? :? :? :? :? :? :?


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2006 9:56 am 
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Trevor Keogh

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Rambo Stallone wrote:
Mordan wrote:
It's possible for a recruiting officer to do a great job, and end up with no players from a draft on the list 6 years later. The choice of player is only one factor of many that determines what happens to a player over their career.

You just CANNOT judge recruitment based on hindsight. It just doesn't work.

Not doing enough research, choosing players for the wrong reasons etc are all valid criticisms, but you can't work backwards and say that we probably did those things because the draft hasn't worked out for us 6 years later.

You talk a load of rubbish It's possible for a recruiting officer to do a great job, and end up with no players from a draft on the list 6 years later,duhhhhhhh :!: :? :? :? :? :? :? :? :?


You went digging for something to have a go at me about?

Of course a recruiter can make the right decisions based on the information available at the time and end up with no players making it. There are many factors, impossible to predict that can cause a player's career to not reach its potential.

Injuries have ruined many players careers, is that somehow the fault of the bloke who recruited them? Was it a wrong decision by the recruiter to pick them? I don't think so.

What about say a young player who loses a family member suddenly and doesn't cope with it well? Perhaps this player was a talented player, who fell to the third round because it was known that he was very close to his family and would need a lot of help to settle in a differnent city. It was a risk to pick him, but for a third rounder his talent made it a worth while gamble. Was it a wrong decision by the recruiter to pick them? I don't think so.

I'm not saying I'm happy things don't work out. Nor that we haven't made mistakes in the past. Just that's it isn't anywhere nearly as simply as looking back 6 years later and saying tick or cross based on how many are on the list.


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2006 10:08 am 
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Harry Vallence
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Mordan wrote:
Rambo Stallone wrote:
Mordan wrote:
It's possible for a recruiting officer to do a great job, and end up with no players from a draft on the list 6 years later. The choice of player is only one factor of many that determines what happens to a player over their career.

You just CANNOT judge recruitment based on hindsight. It just doesn't work.

Not doing enough research, choosing players for the wrong reasons etc are all valid criticisms, but you can't work backwards and say that we probably did those things because the draft hasn't worked out for us 6 years later.

You talk a load of rubbish It's possible for a recruiting officer to do a great job, and end up with no players from a draft on the list 6 years later,duhhhhhhh :!: :? :? :? :? :? :? :? :?


You went digging for something to have a go at me about?

Of course a recruiter can make the right decisions based on the information available at the time and end up with no players making it. There are many factors, impossible to predict that can cause a player's career to not reach its potential.

Injuries have ruined many players careers, is that somehow the fault of the bloke who recruited them? Was it a wrong decision by the recruiter to pick them? I don't think so.

What about say a young player who loses a family member suddenly and doesn't cope with it well? Perhaps this player was a talented player, who fell to the third round because it was known that he was very close to his family and would need a lot of help to settle in a differnent city. It was a risk to pick him, but for a third rounder his talent made it a worth while gamble. Was it a wrong decision by the recruiter to pick them? I don't think so.

I'm not saying I'm happy things don't work out. Nor that we haven't made mistakes in the past. Just that's it isn't anywhere nearly as simply as looking back 6 years later and saying tick or cross based on how many are on the list.


Except when its all crosses against all those names and the reason for it is a lack of talent. The temperament and work-rate of the 2000 crew has never been questioned, they are just not good enough.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2006 10:25 am 
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Trevor Keogh

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Dukes wrote:
Except when its all crosses against all those names and the reason for it is a lack of talent. The temperament and work-rate of the 2000 crew has never been questioned, they are just not good enough.


I agree about temperament, especially Wiggins and Livingston both seem to be great club men who do everything they need to do for their footy.

But Livingston has had some serious injuries along the way. Even now he struggles with back problems on a game to game basis. Sporn has also had injury problems and no longer looks the player he was in his first couple of years.

It's been said many times that Livingston was picked as the "next best tall" rather than the "next best player". If this is the case then I think that was a mistake, not necessarily for how it turned out, but for the process behind the decision.

As far as talent, I know nothing about how the players were rated as juniors, so I can't comment on that. If you saw them play as juniors, and can offer some insight into where we went wrong with them, then that would add a lot to the discussion.

If you think I'm defending out drafting in 2000, then you've misunderstood. I'm just saying that to judge recruiting based only on how many players are on the list 6 years later is pointless and wrong, unless you just want to bitch and moan.


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PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2006 11:04 am 
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Harry Vallence
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Mordan wrote:
Dukes wrote:
Except when its all crosses against all those names and the reason for it is a lack of talent. The temperament and work-rate of the 2000 crew has never been questioned, they are just not good enough.


I agree about temperament, especially Wiggins and Livingston both seem to be great club men who do everything they need to do for their footy.

But Livingston has had some serious injuries along the way. Even now he struggles with back problems on a game to game basis. Sporn has also had injury problems and no longer looks the player he was in his first couple of years.

It's been said many times that Livingston was picked as the "next best tall" rather than the "next best player". If this is the case then I think that was a mistake, not necessarily for how it turned out, but for the process behind the decision.

As far as talent, I know nothing about how the players were rated as juniors, so I can't comment on that. If you saw them play as juniors, and can offer some insight into where we went wrong with them, then that would add a lot to the discussion.

If you think I'm defending out drafting in 2000, then you've misunderstood. I'm just saying that to judge recruiting based only on how many players are on the list 6 years later is pointless and wrong, unless you just want to bitch and moan.


I'm not having a go ... I'm just saying that recruiting has to be judged at some point. I'm all for the injury excuse - if it's justifed. I just don't think it has impacted that much on Sporn and Wiggins, Livo may be a different story.

Thats the problem with the old Carlton approach to recruiting and trading away those top picks consistently. By only really being involved heavily in one draft the risk factor was high ... and the gamble didn't come off in any way as that year turned out to be relatively poor across the board after picks 1, 2 and 3. This is a broader match committee issue.

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PostPosted: Wed Oct 11, 2006 12:59 pm 
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Trevor Keogh

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Dukes wrote:
I'm not having a go ... I'm just saying that recruiting has to be judged at some point. I'm all for the injury excuse - if it's justifed. I just don't think it has impacted that much on Sporn and Wiggins, Livo may be a different story.

Thats the problem with the old Carlton approach to recruiting and trading away those top picks consistently. By only really being involved heavily in one draft the risk factor was high ... and the gamble didn't come off in any way as that year turned out to be relatively poor across the board after picks 1, 2 and 3. This is a broader match committee issue.


Absolutely agree, our recruitment and trading policies cost us dearly. Our drafting probably wasn't that great, but we didn't give ourselves very many chances.


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