aboynamedsue wrote:
As someone else said the other day, it's not losing Betts, Garlett, Waite, Robinson, Laidler, Jacobs & Grigg that's hurt us - it's what we got (or didn't get) in return for them.
Personally, I will lose no sleep whatsoever if Henderson & Yarran are traded - as long as we get first round picks in return.
It won't be easy with Henderson. I've got a feeling that deal might not be finalised until very late in the trade period. He is off contract and there is no chance he will stay. Therefore we are in a weak position. I've got a bad feeling Geelong will kick our arse in the negotiations and we'll end up with #28 and Josh Walker for Hendo. That will be another big loss.
I'm more bullish about what we will get for Yarran. The Tigers can talk tough about only giving us a 2nd rounder, but we shouldn't settle for anything less than #12 (or whatever their first pick ends up being). I would prefer the pick to Lennon personally. If we can get Lennon through the PSD that would be a good result, but I can't see it happening. I reckon he will stay at Richmond, or they will trade him to another club (Hawks or North?) to get back into the late first round after they give us their first pick for Yarran.
I've got everything crossed that Kreuzer will stay now that there's seemingly no chance of us getting #2. If he says he wants out no matter what, and the deal from the other clubs is so watered down following the medical tests that we are only eligible for band 2 compensation, that will be a disaster.
I have a feeling Richmond and Doggies will go hard for Kreuzer despite Yarran being on Tigers' radar.
There's always future picks which are still valuable for a rebuilding phase. Same goes with Hendo.
Round 1 Pick 1 2015 Draft Pick
Round 1 Pick 2 2015 for Kreuzer
Round 1 Pick 12 2015 for Yarran (or next year's round 1 pick)
Round 2 Pick 20 2015 Draft Pick
Round 1 Pick 3 2016 finish 16th behind Essendon* & Brisbane
Round 1 Pick 10 2016 for Hendo from Geelong
Round 2 Pick 22 2016 Draft Pick
There's some serious quality from Top 20 picks in the next 2 drafts...plus add a FS and a Carlisle, perhaps Philips and Ploughman. Hey might keep Kreuzer and it will only be 2 top 20 picks over 2 years.
We can turn this around if all cards fall the right way and we get rid of players who don't play for team success...you know the types...passengers...Hendo Yarran Garlett
Probably lose Simpson, Tutt and Armfield at the end of 2016. There's the minimum 3 changes right there.
Imagine a priority pick in there too...and we will have to get even tougher on the delisting ledger.